Mere idebe nke price nke mmanụ? World mmanụ ahịa

Ọtụtụ ndị ọkachamara na ugbu a ihe karịrị ikpeazụ afọ ole na ole akwụsịghị na-eche ihe mere ọduọ ke price mmanụ na ole ikpuru "bearish" mmetụta. N'oge ikpeazụ afọ ise 4 zuru ụwa ọnụ ọdịda na e dekọrọ na mmanụ ahịa. "Bear" okirikiri ugboro ugboro 14 ugboro, na nke a ebe ọ bụ na 2000. N'agbanyeghị akwusighi nke ọnọdụ, na price kwa gbọmgbọm bụ mgbe n'enweghị azụ ka amalite.

Nnukwu-ọnụ ọgụgụ ojuju na mmanụ ahịa na 21 na narị afọ

The zuru ụwa ọnụ ọdịda na mmanụ ahịa na akụkọ ihe mere eme nke ịdị adị nke ahịa bụ ike soro ndị mere WITI ruturu, nke, ebe ọ bụ na 2011, dochie Brent ọkwa mmanụ ụgbọala. E nwere nanị ise:

1. 2001. Site January 19, 2001 na price manu bu 32.2 dollar. Site November 5, 2001 na price ama esịn ka 17.5 dollar. 10 ọnwa na price kwa gbọmgbọm ebelata site 48,5 percent.

2. 2006. July 14, 2006 na price kwa gbọmgbọm mmanụ bụ 77 dollar. Ugbua on January 18 n'afọ ọzọ, na price ruru a larịị nke 50.5 dollar. The price dobe 34.5% e dere maka 6 ọnwa.

3. Summer 2008. Na 2008, na July 3, price kwa gbọmgbọm ra ka 145.3 dollar. Mgbe 2.5 ọnwa, ya bụ na 16 September e dere ozugbo na ala nke index - ka 91.2 dollar.

4. N'oge mgbụsị akwụkwọ 2008. Site 22 September, na-esonụ na-adịbeghị anya ọdịda nke mmanụ wetara azụ ka larịị nke 120.9 dollar, na site December 19 njide mere na a price nke 33.9 dollar. N'ime nanị ọnwa atọ na-eri nke a gbọmgbọm mmanụ abiaruwo 71,9%.

5. Spring 2011. April 29, 2011 na price ruru 113, 93 dollar kwa gbọmgbọm. Ma on October 4 na kwa chaatị esesịn a dere a ọhụrụ ala na $ 75.67. The ọdịda kere 5 ọnwa, na price ama esịn site 33,58%.

Mere idebe nke price nke mmanụ na otú ọnọdụ dị na 2015?

Mmanụ bụ ndabere nke niile ume ego, nke a na-ewu ihe fọrọ nke nta dum mmepeanya. were oge a otu ihe agaghị ekwe omume na-enweghị mmanụ ụgbọala, manu oku na mmanụ dizel. Ọ bụ ya mere ajụjụ nke mere na ndị na-ada price mmanụ, ọ bụghị a obere nchegbu banyere bụghị naanị aku nnyocha, ma ọtụtụ ndị mmadụ na ụwa. Ọnọdụ bụ mmasị na-fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụla ọkachamara n'okwu a.

Akpan akpan anya na-akwụ ụgwọ mmanụ ahịa bi Russia. Nke a bụ n'ihi na eziokwu na-ada na-eri nke manu emewo ka a ọnụ na ruble. The dollar na-eto eto n'ike n'ike, na ruble ka dara. People kwụsị ịnọgide na ha ego ha. Ha ma itinye ego na Ịzụ nke ezinụlọ ngwa ma ọ bụ na mma nke ha ọnọdụ ibi ndụ, ma ọ bụ bufee ụgwọ na mba ọzọ ego na a mma ọnụego bụghị.

N'agbanyeghị ikpeazụ afọ amụma, taa mmanụ ahịa na-ada ada. 2014 biri ọzọ gụnyere ya ná ndị na-eri a gbọmgbọm. Na nọworo na-emekarị mgbanwe bụghị ẹka ebe, ọnọdụ na-anọgide edoghị.

Analytics na a ilekiri

World mmanụ price Brent (a ika bụ otu n'ime ndị kasị chọọ mgbe, site ije nke ya price na-eme ka n'ozuzu analysis of ahịa) na January-February 2014 guzo gburugburu 107 dollar kwa gbọmgbọm. Ná mmalite October ịzụta otu gbọmgbọm nke mmanụ pụrụ ịbụ nnọọ ihe $ 90. Nke a bụ a dị ịrịba ama-akpata n'ihi na egwu na, mba ebe aku na uba na-arụ ọrụ na-adabere ike na-ebupụ. Mgbe a na price ọnọdụ na-adịghị Nọsi'ike, na site December 11 price chaatị ese a ọhụrụ ala - 64 dollar. Taa, ndị na-azụ na-adị njikere ime ka ihe ọ na mmanụ ụgbọala bụ karịa 59,5 dollar. Ọ amama a-akpali nnọọ mmasị ọnọdụ. Ina mmanụ ụgbọala na-n'usoro-amụba, na price na-ada.

Ihe mere ọdịda ke ahịa n'ụwa - òtù OPEC iwu

A doro anya azịza nke ajụjụ: "Gịnị mere eme dara na price nke mmanụ?" mfịna. Ọnọdụ site n'aka atụnyere n'otu oge a ọtụtụ ihe, nke, dị ka aku na uba na nnyocha e kere artificially.

Budata gbanwere price mmanụ kwa gbọmgbọm n'ihi na iwu nke na-ekwu - òtù òtù OPEC. The ego nke mmanụ na-enwe kwa ụbọchị na-abawanye. Na August 2014 ndekọ e mere. Olu nke crude mmanụ dịrị 30,5 nde orù kwa ụbọchị. Kemgbe 5 ọnwa, a na ọnụ ọgụgụ na-anọgide na a ufọk ufene larịị. Tupu mgbe ahụ, ọnụego ya kwa ụbọchị nke mmanụ mmepụta bụ 30 nde orù. Na-abawanye na mmepụta olu 0,5 nde mgbagwoju na ihe ndị ọzọ a dị ịrịba ama mmetụta na ahịa okuku.

Libya, Saudi Arabia na Kuwait: mmetụta na mmanụ ahịa

Banyere na-abịa price dobe dọrọ aka ná ntị Venezuela, Iran na 4 na-ekwu na bụ akụkụ nke òtù OPEC. Dị ka ndị ọkachamara, a ịrịba abawanye na-eri nke a gbọmgbọm bụ ekwe omume mgbe mbenata olu nke manu mmepụta site naanị 415.000 orù. N'ihi nke jụrụ of Mbelata mmepụta mpịakọta si Saudi Arabia na Kuwait, ọnọdụ njọ. Olu na-ekwu, ndị bụrụkwa, dị ka ọ bụ Saudi Arabia akụkọ ihe 300 nde ndị ọzọ barel mmanụ. Ọnọdụ iwe Libya akụ na ụba mgbake, nke akpatre pụta si a ala nke agha na ọzọ sonyeere n'ohu na-achị egwuregwu na mmanụ ahịa.

US ọrụ ke guzobere ahịa na mmanụ ahịa

Ọdịda ke mmanụ ahịa e mere site omume na akụkụ nke America, dị ka ókèala ya bụ nnọọ a ukwuu nke ego a ịnweta. Government nke State iji zere ụkọ, agbala a iwu machibido mbupụ nke raw mmanụ ụgbọala. Ka ọ dịgodị, US kemgbe ihe karịrị afọ iri na-anọgide na isi n'ji mmanụ n'ụwa. Nnukwu ichekwa nke manu, nke zụtara elu na mba, na-akwado site na-eri nke manu. The price mmanụ kwa gbọmgbọm nọgidere na a elu larịị.

Mbenata na-eri nke crude mmanụ September 2014 coincided na-abawanye na mmepụta nke manu na America. The kwa ụbọchị mmepụta ọnụego guzo 8.7 nde orù. Dị ka nnyocha na, na-abịa ọnwa-amụba ruo 9.5 nde orù. N'ihi ya, mmanụ ahịa na-ada ada, isi n'ji hapụrụ arena. Ọzọkwa, ịchọta loopholes na iwu, isi ụlọ ọrụ malitere mbupụ ya mmanụ ụwa ahịa. Nke a olu nke crude mmanụ bụ na mba ebe ọ bụ na 1987.

Diagonal "overproduction - oriri"

Ọdịda ke mmanụ ahịa bụ n'ezie igbu ka aku na uba nke ala, na-ebi ndụ na-efu nke ike. Daily mmanụ ụgbọala oriri nke 92 nde orù. N'ihi na ụkọ mmanụ ụgbọala na ụwa ahịa, price bụ nnọọ elu. The nkọ na-awụlikwa elu na Ngwuputa ụlọ ọrụ ka larịị nke 93,8 nde orù dugara overproduction. N'ihi bụ doro anya. Mgbe ngwongwo karịa J.Randall, na price na-ebelata site na mbenata ina. Ga-anọgide na ruo mgbe irè mmepụta nke manu, ọnọdụ ga-aka njọ.

The dollar ebilie emetụta ndị price mmanụ

The dobe na mmanụ ahịa emetụta na a nkọ abawanye na dollar. Nke a bụ n'ihi na eziokwu na price kwa gbọmgbọm na-gbakọọ kpọmkwem na US ego. Na otu ebe ala nke ọkọnọ na ina na mmanụ ahịa price anọgide static. Ọ bụrụ na anyị na-atụle na dollar na-agbanwe mgbe nile na ikwu na ego nke ụwa, n'elu-kọwara ọnọdụ na ahịa - nke a bụ site n'ógbè nke fantasy. Dị ka a N'ihi ya, ndị dollar price abawanye emee dobe na mmanụ ahịa, dị ka okporo ụzọ na-enye ohere dollar ịzụta ihe olu nke mmanụ ụgbọala. The na-ada dollar ga-eduga onye na-abawanye na mmanụ ahịa, dị ka kwa gbọmgbọm ga-akwụ ihe karịrị US ego. Ụfọdụ mba na-ajụ na-ere ha mmanụ na dollar. ịzụta mmanụ ụgbọala ụlọ ọrụ ịgbanwe ego, na-eme na-abawanye na ọkọnọ na-akpali ya na-ada. Mgbe ụfọdụ ọ na-eme na ụwa mmanụ ahịa na dollar na-ebili na price n'otu oge. Nke a bụ n'ihi na eziokwu na ọnọdụ ga-esonyere a gụnyere ya ná larịị nke ọrụ na United States na ezi aku n'uba.